Week 4 upsets to watch out for

Every week, a handful of underdogs upset the favorites, not only covering the point spread but winning outright. While it's difficult to pick those winners correctly, it isn't difficult to pinpoint some teams that could cause trouble for other teams.

Here are what I feel are the three likeliest upsets in Week 4:

West Virginia over LSU. WVU is on the road and a 9.5-point underdog. Yet, both teams are undefeated, and LSU won a Week 1 barnburner against UNC, a team slightly worse than the Mountaineers.

WVU is a great value this week, needing to win just 25% of the time to break even. The Mountaineers barely edged in-state rival Marshall 24-21 in Week 2, but beat visiting Maryland handily last week, 31-17.

LSU hasn't truly been pushed to its limits yet, and West Virginia is clearly the best team it's played all year. The Tigers beat a depleted UNC team 30-24 after the Tar Heels suspended several players for misconduct. LSU then beat Vanderbilt, an SEC bottom feeder, and Mississippi State, a respectable win.

With the way West Virginia looked in the first half last Saturday, it wouldn't surprise me to see them pull off a big road win in Baton Rouge.

Upset special No. 2 is NC State, an eight-point underdog to Georgia Tech. The Yellow Jackets lost an embarrassing road game to Kansas, then bounced back with a nailbiter win over UNC. But NC State has stealthily flown under the radar with a 3-0 record, beating Central Florida on the road and then taking care of Cincinnati 30-19 at home last week.

Needing to win just 27% of the time to turn a profit, the 3-0 Wolfpack could cause some grief in Georgia.

The biggest longshot that could drop jaws this weekend? Temple, which opened as a 17-point underdog when it travels to play Penn State.

The line has since dropped to 13.5, a pretty significant movement, but probably justified considering how Temple manhandled UConn 30-16 last week. And its moneyline is big enough that Temple only needs to win 20% of the time to profit.

PSU has beaten FCS Youngstown State (yawn) and Kent State (yawn) but got whipped 24-3 against Alabama. Crimson Tide running back Trent Richardson had a monster game against Penn State, carrying the ball 22 times for 144 yards and a touchdown.

Temple's strength is in its running game, too. Running back Bernard Pierce is averaging 5.4 yards per carry this season and torched UConn for 169 yards, one rushing and one receiving touchdown last week.