Friday, September 10, 2010

Week 2 bets

Week 1 was pretty good to us. We finished 11-11-0, but rather than losing money on eating juice, our strategy paid off. We ended up +2.96 units, which was actually a bit disappointing in the end because heading into the Labor Day games, we were up +5.76 units. Still, a winning week is a winning week, and one I'll gladly take.

This week, we're using the same strategy, just with different teams. After much consideration, I'm going with Baylor, USC and Kentucky's moneylines. Baylor is at home against Buffalo, USC is at home against Virginia and Kentucky is at home against Western Kentucky.

Baylor's back, with QB Robert Griffin finally healthy, and Buffalo is under a new head coach now that Turner Gill is in Kansas. USC is finally at home, and while it may not be the USC team we're used to seeing, Virginia coach Mike London's first trip cross-country won't end with a victory. Kentucky doesn't need to be particularly competitive to beat in-state foe Western Kentucky, one of the five worst teams in FBS.
  1. Morgan State +38.5 (-120) + Baylor -700 ML + USC -1250 ML + Kentucky -2500 ML -- 2.7u to win 3.65u
  2. Alabama -475 ML + those three -- 3.61u to win 2u
  3. Texas A&M -1200 ML + those three -- 1.8u to win .7u
  4. Florida -700 ML + those three -- 1.5u to win .7u
  5. Washington -500 ML + those three -- 1.4u to win .76u
  6. Georgia Tech -570 ML + those three -- 1.4u to win .72u
  7. Texas -27.5 (-130) + those three -- 1.2u to win 1.53u
  8. Iowa State +14.5 (-130) + those three -- 1.2u to win 1.53u
  9. Florida State +7.5 (-130) + those three -- 1.1u to win 1.4u
  10. Ohio State -330 ML + those three -- 1.1u to win .74u
  11. Ole Miss -20.5 + those three -- 1u to win 1.45u
  12. Oklahoma State -525 ML + those three -- 1u to win .53u
  13. West Virginia -490 ML + those three -- .93u to win .51u
  14. California -370 ML + those three -- .8u to win .5u
  15. Tennessee +14.5 (-170) + those three -- .7u to win .73u
Total risk: 21.44 units to win 17.44 units.

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