Wednesday, September 29, 2010

Heisman Trophy update

Just four weeks into the season, and the Heisman Trophy race is beginning to look like a three-horse race. But Las Vegas is misleading you. While Alabama running back Mark Ingram might be the best player on the best team in the country, his statistics aren't worthy of earning back-to-back Heisman Trophies.

At +375, Michigan quarterback Denard Robinson has gone from under the radar to one of the most likely candidates. And while his statistics are out of this world (731 passing yards, 688 rushing yards, 10 total touchdowns and one interception), he and the Wolverines should both come back down to reality before season's end.

Here are some guys who present an interesting value:

Ohio State quarterback Terrelle Pryor (+500) -- Pryor deserves to win the Heisman as much as anyone, and at 5-to-1, that's great value. The Buckeyes are clearly a top five team with a chance of winning the National Championship. If they get there, it'll be because of Pryor. That in itself could be deserving of the Heisman.

Stanford quarterback Andrew Luck (+1000) -- Luck has done nothing to deserve not being among the top for consideration of the Heisman Trophy. Without him, Stanford is at best a seven- or eight-win team. With him, they're a national contender. Luck has been phenomenal, throwing for 11 touchdowns and only two interceptions despite playing a tough schedule. He's completing 63 percent of his passes and, if this keeps up, may lead them to a Rose Bowl.

Arkansas quarterback Ryan Mallett (+1000) -- Mallett leads all FBS quarterbacks with 1,838 passing yards, more than 500 yards ahead of the No. 2 passer in the country. He leads the country in passing touchdowns (13) and is completing 68 percent of his passes, too. Though Arkansas won't be in the National Championship race, it's hard not to consider Mallett a legitimate contender with those numbers.

Oklahoma quarterback Landry Jones (+1800) -- Oklahoma could end up in the National Championship. If it does, the Sooners don't have a ton of options for where the trophy could end up. Jones has played very well this season, filling in admirably for Sam Bradford, who was the No. 1 pick in the 2010 NFL Draft. Jones is throwing for more than 300 yards per game and has nine passing touchdowns through four games. He's an interesting darkhorse if Oklahoma runs the table.

Oregon running back LaMichael James (+2300) -- James' 158.3 yards rushing per game is good for second in the country, but his team is currently ranked No. 4. The Heisman committee loves to give the award to a star player on a highly ranked team, and James is Oregon's best bet by far.

Oklahoma running back DeMarco Murray (+6000) -- Murray is a workhorse on a Top 10 team. He leads the country in carries (105) and is fifth in rushing touchdowns (4). He's 20th in rushing yards, but if Oklahoma runs the table and wins the Big 12, much of that will be because of Murray.

Alabama running back Trent Richardson (+6000) -- If Alabama gets to the National Championship undefeated, the award could easily go to the best statistical guy on the Crimson Tide. Last year that was Ingram. But so far this year, Richardson has more carries and more yards (albeit in two more games) than Ingram. He's averaging 7.6 yards per carry, too.

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